How many connections are likely to get impacted, assuming the worst case scenario, that none of the 122 licenes are bought again or sold? Our estimates suggest that this base will be over 76 million connections, which is roughly 8.52% of India's connection base of 893.84 million connections (as of 31st December 2011). However, only around 70% of this customer base is likely to be active, so the impact will more likely be around 53.31 million connections, which is around 8.24% of India's active connection base of 646.78 million connections. Note that the impact is likely to be higher - our calculations do not take into account four circles for the Idea Cellular - Spice Communications combination - Delhi, Haryana, Karnataka and Punjab, where either Idea or Spice Comm received licenses in 2008 while the other already had services active; we're unable to ascertain who the subscribers belong to, which is something the government will also have to take into account. So, the datasheet: Note that data for Swan Telecom and Allianz (which received 2 licenses on August 1st 2008) has been combined, and we have no data for "Azare Properties", which was also given a license on 25th January 2008, but only in Kolkata; TRAI's telecom connection/subscriber reports do not have any data on this company Some data to consider: - The verdict impacts around 19.78% of the total connection base in Andhra Pradesh - as many as 12.98 million connections, most of which are a part of…
